Two democrats on this list are also trying to get reelected in states trump won. The 95 percent predictive intervals range from 1 percentage point in larger states such as california florida new york pennsylvania and texas.
Swing State Wikipedia
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Is kentucky a swing state. With 29 electoral votes florida is the nations biggest battleground state. The sleeper 2020 swing state. These states are usually targeted by both major party campaigns especially in competitive elections.
In 2016 donald trump managed to win in this state with the popularity of 476 while hilary clinton acquired 473. The state has been known to be a key figure determining the presidential winner. In american politics the term swing state refers to any state that could reasonably be won by either the democratic or republican presidential candidate by a swing in votes.
Latest 2020 general election polls. As of late however notably since the election of steve beshear in 2007 kentucky has become very blue. Trump won the state by less than 1 percentage point or about.
The state is also a significant swing state in united states politics. Many reenactors call this method the ken tucky stack or kentucky swing mainly because when it was introduced in the first confederate brigade in 1986 the source was an 1861 manual of arms for the kentucky state guard. Meanwhile the states that regularly lean to a single party are known as safe states as it is generally assumed that one candidate has a base of support from which they can draw a sufficient share of the electorate.
Pennsylvania is a key swing state that went for president donald trump in 2016 and will be a central battleground state in 2020. Kentucky was called the blue grass state not because the grass was blue but little blue flower buds made the grass look blue in the distance. Home to large populations of senior citizens and hispanics the state voted for barack obama in 2008 and george w.
May 03 2017 051142 pm i think the term sleeper 2020 swing state would be better applied to either arizona georgia or texas. It was the first republican to succeed in this state since george bush won in 1988. The distribution of these predictions at the state level allows us to construct a predictive interval which gives us a sense of the spread of mrp estimates.
Historically kentucky has been a red state. Republicans currently have the majority by four seats and even though the gop is defending seven of the 10 most competitive senate seats on the ballot this year most of those are in states president trump won.
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